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The US CPI annual rate fell unexpectedly in April, and gold recovered the 3250 mark!
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Review]: The annual rate of CPI in the United States unexpectedly fell in April, and gold recovered the 3250 mark!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On May 14, in the early trading of Asia on Wednesday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 100.94. On Tuesday, the U.S. CPI data fell slightly below expectations, giving up most of the previous day's gains and ended up closing down 0.79% at 100.98. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.4730%; the two-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.0150%. Stimulated by CPI data, spot gold recovered the 3250 mark and finally closed up 0.43% to $3250.10 per ounce. Spot silver finally closed up 0.97% to $32.90 per ounce. As the Sino-US trade agreement rekindled investors' enthusiasm for xmmarkets.cnmodities and the boost of inflation data, WTI crude oil finally closed up 2.67% to $63.58 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 2.45% to $66.54 per barrel.
Analysis of major currencies
Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovers around 100.94. Traders remain cautious amid a blur of trade xmmarkets.cnmitments with China and the UK, with new uncertainty emerging after President Trump pushed for ambitious investment and tax plans without detailing how they would impact the economy. Despite the headlines of tariff downgrades, Fitch's effective tariff rate on Chinese goods remains above 40%, heightening doubts about the durability of the recent agreement. Technically, if the US dollar index closes below the 101.00 level, it will move towards the nearest support, which is in the range of 100.20–100.40.
Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends
1) Analysis of gold market trends
Which trading on the Asian session was around 3240.93. After a plunge on Monday, gold prices rebounded slightly on Tuesday (May 13), with spot gold closing at $3,249.86 per ounce on Tuesday, up 0.47%. The influx of buying on dips provides support to gold prices, and the US April CPI was weaker than market expectations, the Federal Reserve's expectation of interest rate cuts cooled down, the US dollar index fell from a one-month high, and geopolitical concerns and other factors provide rising momentum for gold prices. Economic data on this trading day are relatively small. US Secretary of State Rubio attended an informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers from May 14 to 16 to discuss NATO's security priorities, including increasing defense investment and ending the Russian-Ukrainian war. In addition, several Federal Reserve officials will make speeches, investors needPay attention.
2) Analysis of crude oil market trends
On Wednesday, crude oil trading around 63.05. Crude oil futures climbed more than $1.60 a barrel on Tuesday, boosted by temporary tariff cuts and better-than-expected inflation reports. Economic data on this trading day are relatively small. US Secretary of State Rubio attended an informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers from May 14 to 16 to discuss NATO's security priorities, including increasing defense investment and ending the Russian-Ukrainian war. In addition, many Federal Reserve officials will make speeches and investors need to pay attention.
Forex market trading reminder on May 14, 2025
① To be determined OPEC releases monthly crude oil market report
②14:00 Germany's April CPI final value
③17:15 Federal Reserve Director Waller delivered a speech
④21:10 Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson delivered a speech
⑤22:30 EIA crude oil inventories in the week from the United States to May 9
⑥22:30 EIA Cushing crude oil inventories in the week from the United States to May 9
⑦22:30 The EIA strategic oil reserve inventory in the week from the United States to May 9
⑧The next day, the Federal Reserve Daly attended a fireside conversation
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