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The U.S. dollar index continues to be under pressure, and tonight’s CPI will include the “Iran premium” for the first time
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Group]: The U.S. dollar index continues to be under pressure, and tonight the CPI will include the "Iran premium" for the first time." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
On April 10, in early Asian trading on Friday, Beijing time, the U.S. dollar index was hovering around 98.91. On Thursday, after Israel sought peace talks with Lebanon and the fragile armistice agreement in the Gulf region rekindled hopes, the U.S. dollar index expanded its losses during the day, finally closing down 0.2% at 98.80; the benchmark 10-year U.S. bond yield closed at 4.2810%, and the 2-year U.S. bond yield, which is sensitive to the Federal Reserve's policy interest rate, closed at 3.773%. While weighing the situation in the Middle East, investors are also optimistic about the long-term prospects of gold prices. Spot gold rose for the third consecutive day. The U.S. market once rebounded to above US$4,800 and finally closed up 1.06% at US$4,769.35 per ounce. Spot silver finally closed up by 2.14% at US$75.69 per ounce. International crude oil fell sharply as Netanyahu said he had instructed to start direct negotiations with Lebanon as soon as possible. WTI crude oil fell from the US$100 mark to above US$95, and then rebounded slightly, finally closing up 1.53% at US$97.97/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 0.32% at US$96.40/barrel.
Analysis of major currency trends
U.S. dollar index: As of press time, the U.S. dollar index is hovering around 98.91. The xmmarkets.cnbination of persistent inflation stickiness and weaker employment data has created uncertainty around the Fed's policy path, pushing U.S. Treasury yields lower and ultimately weighing on the dollar. Technically, the U.S. dollar index is trying to stabilize below the support range of 98.85–99.00. If this attempt is successful, the US Dollar Index will move towards the next support level, which is located in the 98.00 to 98.15 range.



1) Gold market trend analysis
In the Asian session on Friday, gold hovered around 4760.69. As the market is uncertain about the fragility of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement and the continued conflict in the Middle East (including reports of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz), Bloomberg reported on Thursday that the Israeli Prime Minister. Benjamin Netanyahu sought direct talks with Beirut, a day after Lebanon suffered its worst bombing of the conflict, which killed more than 300 people and threatened the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. src="/uploads/2026/04/gxfygi3ortl.jpg" />
Technical: From the daily chart, gold prices continue to fluctuate between key moving averages. The current price is still stable above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) of $4,673.84, but below the 50-day SMA of $4,914.57, and has recently fallen back. After the adjustment, the overall tone remains neutral. The relative strength index (RSI) is hovering near the midline, and the average trend index (ADX) shows that the trend strength is moderate, indicating that the price may continue to consolidate in the range, waiting for new catalytic factors to guide the direction.14.57 US dollars, if the daily closing price clearly breaks through this level, it will reignite bullish sentiment and open the channel for challenging the previous high. The initial support on the downside is $4,673.84 near the 100-day SMA. If it continues to fall below, it may herald a deeper correction and indicate that the bears are back in charge.2) Crude oil market trend analysis
On Friday’s Asian session, crude oil was trading around 98.53. The core of this round of violent fluctuations in oil prices stems from the rapid reversal of the situation in the Middle East. On April 7, the United States and Iran reached a temporary ceasefire agreement, and Israel launched negotiations with Lebanon. The market panic premium was quickly cleared, and WTI plummeted 16.41% in a single day, hitting a low of $91.05. However, the situation changed again overnight. Iran said it would advance a "new phase" in the management of the Strait of Hormuz. Trump warned that Iran would be prohibited from collecting tolls, and shipping in the Strait was once again blocked. At the same time, the Saudi oil pipeline was attacked, reducing supply by 700,000 barrels per day. xmmarkets.cnbined with EIA's prediction that the scale of production shutdowns in the Middle East will expand to 9.1 million barrels per day in April, concerns about supply disruptions have been rekindled, driving a V-shaped rebound in oil prices.

Foreign exchange market transaction reminder on April 10, 2025
①09:30 China’s March CPI annual rate
②14:00 Germany’s March CPI monthly rate final value
③15:00 Switzerland March Consumer Confidence Index
④20:30 Canada’s March Employment Numbers
⑤20:30 U.S. March Unseasonally Adjusted CPI Annual Rate
⑥20:30 U.S. March Seasonally Adjusted CPI Monthly Rate
⑦20:30 US March seasonally adjusted core CPI monthly rate
⑧20:30 US March unseasonally adjusted core CPI annual rate
⑨22:00 US April one-year inflation rate expected initial value
⑩22:00 US Initial value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in April
22:00 Monthly rate of U.S. factory orders in February
01:00 the next day The total number of oil rigs in the United States for the week to April 10
The above content is about "[XM Group]: The U.S. dollar index continues to be under pressure, and tonight the CPI will be included in the "Iran Premium" for the first time. The entire content is carefully xmmarkets.cnpiled and edited by the XM foreign exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your transactionsHelped! Thanks for the support!
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