Trusted by over 15 Million Traders
The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason
CATEGORIES
News
- Analysis of the latest trends in gold, US dollar index, Japanese yen, euro, Brit
- Gold fluctuated widely on 11.21, and the Asian market continued the same recipe.
- The U.S. dollar index remains volatile as inflation data becomes a key market dr
- Gold, nine weeks of continuous sunshine!
- U.S. dollar index falls below 100 mark, safe-haven demand supports gold prices h
market news
Direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon trigger a plunge in crude oil, Putin’s ceasefire coexists with Houthi threats
Wonderful introduction:
Since ancient times, there have been joys and sorrows of parting, and since ancient times, there have been sad songs about the moon. It’s just that we never understood it and thought everything was just a distant memory. Because without real experience, there is no deep inner feeling.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: Direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon triggered a plunge in crude oil, Putin's ceasefire and Houthi threats coexist". Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
Global Market Overview
On Thursday, after Israel sought peace talks with Lebanon and the fragile armistice agreement in the Gulf region rekindled hopes, the U.S. dollar index fell more during the day and finally closed down 0.2% at 98.80; the benchmark 10-year U.S. bond yield closed at 4.2810%, and the 2-year U.S. bond yield, which is sensitive to the Federal Reserve policy rate, closed at 3.773%.
While weighing the situation in the Middle East, investors are also optimistic about the long-term prospects of gold prices. Spot gold rose for the third consecutive day. The U.S. market once rebounded to above $4,800, and finally closed up 1.06% at $4,769.35 per ounce; spot silver finally closed up 2.14% at $75.69 per ounce.
International crude oil fell sharply as Netanyahu said he had instructed to start direct negotiations with Lebanon as soon as possible. WTI crude oil fell from the US$100 mark to above US$95, and then rebounded slightly, finally closing up 1.53% at US$97.97/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 0.32% at US$96.40/barrel.
Overnight market review
U.S. stocks: The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.58%, the S&P 500 Index rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq xmmarkets.cnposite Index rose 0.8%. The latter two achieved gains for 7 consecutive trading days. Amazon (AMZN.O) rose more than 5%, SanDisk (SNDK.O) rose 9%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 1%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.3%, NIO (NIO.N) and Baidu (BIDU.O) both fell more than 4.5%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) rose nearly 2%.
European stocks: Most major European stock indexes fell, GermanyThe DAX30 index closed down 1.14%, the UK's FTSE 100 index closed down 0.05%, and the European Stoxx 50 index closed down 0.29%.
Hong Kong stocks: Hong Kong stocks opened lower and consolidated, with intraday losses narrowing, and then resumed their decline in the afternoon. The Hang Seng Technology Index continued to expand in late trading, falling by more than 2%. As of the close, the Hang Seng Index closed down 0.54% at 25,752.40 points, and the Stock Exchange Index closed down 2.06% at 4,821.67 points. The Hang Seng Index’s market turnover reached HK$244.977 billion. On the market, most sectors of the market corrected and consolidated. The non-ferrous metals and optical xmmarkets.cnmunications sectors were among the top gainers, while the application software sector was among the top losers. The innovative drugs sector continued to fall after rising in early trading, and the trends of automobile stocks were divided. In terms of individual stocks, YOFC Optical Fiber & Cable (06869.HK) closed up 6.94%, China Hongqiao (01378.HK) closed up 5.19%, and WuXi AppTec (02359.HK) closed up 3.4%. 5%, NIO-SW (09866.HK) closed up 2.17%, Li Auto (02015.HK) closed down 5.37%, and Kingdee International (00268.HK) closed down 7.14%.
A-shares: The three major A-share stock indexes opened lower and adjusted. They rebounded and shot higher in early trading. The Shenzhen xmmarkets.cnponent Index once turned red. In the afternoon, the three major stock indexes maintained underwater fluctuations. The ChiNext Index once fell 1% again. As of the close, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index closed down 0.72%, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange xmmarkets.cnponent Index closed down 0.33%, and the GEM Index closed down 0.73%; the turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges exceeded 2.1 trillion, and more than 4,000 stocks in the two cities fell. On the market, many sectors fluctuated and adjusted. xmmarkets.cnputing infrastructure such as copper cable high-speed connections, optical xmmarkets.cnmunications, and liquid-cooled servers bucked the market trend and strengthened. Sectors such as AI applications and tourism were among the top decliners. The innovative drug sector continued to fall after rising higher in early trading.
Domestic market news
1. The central bank continues to carry out "land quantity" reverse repurchase operations: On April 9, the People's Bank of China launched a 500 million yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation with a fixed interest rate and quantity bidding method, with an operating interest rate of 1.4%. On that day, 500 million yuan of reverse repurchase expired, and the open market achieved zero investment and zero withdrawal.自4月1日以来,除4月3日操作规模为10亿元外,其余几日操作规模均为5亿元,央行连续开展“地量”逆回购操作。 This week (April 7 to 10), 1,404 billion yuan will expire in the open market, including 304 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchases and 1,100 billion yuan of 3-month buyout reverse repos. The 3-month buyout reverse repurchases that expire on the 8th have been reduced in volume and will be continued, with the scale reduced by 300 billion yuan.
2. The RMB cross-border payment system reaches a record high: Recently, the RMB cross-border payment system (CIPS) processed a transaction volume of 1.22 trillion yuan in a single day, with nearly 42,000 transactions, both breaking historical records. This breakthrough xmmarkets.cnes at a time when geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to be tense and global financial market volatility intensifies, highlighting the safe-haven properties and demand for the use of RMB in cross-border settlements.
3. Funding continues to be loose: On April 9, Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate(Shibor) fell 0.4 basis points overnight to 1.222%, and 7-day Shibor fell 0.1 basis points to 1.323%. As of the close of the day, the weighted average interest rate of DR007 rose to 1.3235%, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange's 1-day treasury bond reverse repurchase rate (GC001) rose to 1.394%.
International Market News
1. The United States and Iran reached a two-week ceasefire agreement, but the situation is still fragile: Less than an hour and a half before the "deadline" set by Trump, the United States and Iran both announced their acceptance of Pakistan's ceasefire initiative and agreed to suspend military operations in the next two weeks. The Israel Defense Forces also announced a suspension of strikes against Iran. But Trump and Israel made it clear that the ceasefire did not apply to Lebanon, suggesting there would be no restrictions on Hezbollah's actions. Just one day after the ceasefire was announced, Israel launched large-scale air strikes in many places in Lebanon, causing thousands of casualties. Iran said three key provisions of the ceasefire agreement had been violated, closed the Strait of Hormuz again, and threatened to prepare deterrent actions against Israeli military targets. The United States and Iran confirmed that they will hold the first round of talks in Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan, on the morning of April 11, local time. U.S. Vice President Vance will lead the delegation there.
2. The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed differences in policy paths: The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s March FOMC meeting released in the early morning of April 9, Beijing time, showed that officials were divided on whether the U.S.-Iran conflict would impact the job market or push up inflation. Most officials believe that war in the Middle East may damage the labor market and may require interest rate cuts; however, many officials emphasize the risk of upward inflation and do not rule out the possibility of raising interest rates. The minutes showed that "many" officials believed that it would be appropriate to cut interest rates at an appropriate time if inflation fell as expected; but "some" officials believed that there were "strong reasons" to be open to raising interest rates as the next step.
3. The release of a number of U.S. economic data has intensified concerns about stagflation: Data released by the U.S. Department of xmmarkets.cnmerce on April 9 showed that core PCE increased by 3.0% year-on-year in February, and overall PCE increased by 2.8% year-on-year, both in line with market expectations, but significantly higher than the Federal Reserve's long-term target of 2%. U.S. personal consumption unexpectedly fell 0.1% month-on-month in February, far worse than market expectations for a 0.6% increase. The final value of U.S. GDP in the fourth quarter of 2025 was revised down to an annualized growth rate of 0.5%, and the full-year growth rate remained at 2.1%. Initial jobless claims rose to 219,000 for the week, higher than the 210,000 expected.市场对“滞胀”场景的担忧正在上升。
4. Global gold ETFs suffered record capital outflows: The World Gold Council reported that global gold ETFs suffered capital outflows of US$12 billion in March, setting a record for a single month in history. Gold price performance that month was the worst since June 2013, mainly due to deleveraging and tighter liquidity rather than deterioration in fundamentals.
5. Japan’s real wage growth is the fastest since 2021: Data from Japan’s Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare show that real wages increased by 1.9% year-on-year in February, rising for the second consecutive month; basic wages rose by 3.3% year-on-year, hitting nearly 3The largest increase in four years shows that corporate salary adjustments are accelerating to be transmitted to household income.
Today’s main financial data and events
①09:30 China’s March CPI annual rate
②14:00 Germany’s March CPI monthly rate final value
③15:00 Switzerland’s March consumer confidence index
④20:30+ Canadian employment in March
⑤20:30 The U.S. CPI monthly rate without seasonally adjustment in March
⑥20:30 The U.S. monthly CPI rate after seasonally adjustment
⑦20:30 The U.S. core CPI monthly rate after seasonally adjustment in March
⑧20:30 The U.S. monthly rate after seasonally adjustment
Seasonally adjusted core CPI annual rate
⑨22:00 Initial value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States in April
⑩22:00 Initial value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index in April in the United States
22:00 Monthly rate of U.S. factory orders in February
The next day 01:0 0 Total number of oil drilling rigs in the United States in the week to April 10th
The above content is about "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: Direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon triggered a plunge in crude oil, Putin's ceasefire and Houthi threats coexist". It was carefully xmmarkets.cnpiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
In fact, responsibility is not helpless or boring, it is as gorgeous as a rainbow. It is this colorful responsibility that creates the wonderful life we have today. I will try my best to organize the article.
Disclaimers: XM Group only provides execution services and access permissions for online trading platforms, and allows individuals to view and/or use the website or the content provided on the website, but has no intention of making any changes or extensions, nor will it change or extend its services and access permissions. All access and usage permissions will be subject to the following terms and conditions: (i) Terms and conditions; (ii) Risk warning; And (iii) a complete disclaimer. Please note that all information provided on the website is for general informational purposes only. In addition, the content of all XM online trading platforms does not constitute, and cannot be used for any unauthorized financial market trading invitations and/or invitations. Financial market transactions pose significant risks to your investment capital.
All materials published on online trading platforms are only intended for educational/informational purposes and do not include or should be considered for financial, investment tax, or trading related consulting and advice, or transaction price records, or any financial product or non invitation related trading offers or invitations.
All content provided by XM and third-party suppliers on this website, including opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, other information, and third-party website links, remains unchanged and is provided as general market commentary rather than investment advice. All materials published on online trading platforms are only for educational/informational purposes and do not include or should be considered as applicable to financial, investment tax, or trading related advice and recommendations, or transaction price records, or any financial product or non invitation related financial offers or invitations. Please ensure that you have read and fully understood the information on XM's non independent investment research tips and risk warnings. For more details, please click here