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24-hour ultimate negotiation between the United States and Iran, competition for rich uranium mines may trigger a greater war
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: 24-hour ultimate negotiation between the United States and Iran, xmmarkets.cnpetition for rich uranium mines or a greater war." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
On Monday (April 6), international oil prices rebounded rapidly during the Asia-Europe time period after rising sharply throughout the day. A spokesman for the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that the US military operation in southern Isfahan may be to seize Iran's uranium-rich mines, suggesting that the war situation may further spread, because Iran previously said that its enriched uranium is very safe.
It should be noted that although oil prices tended to fall throughout the day, oil prices remained at a high level, and the market's bets on the continuation of the war have not significantly relaxed. Since the United States and Israel jointly launched a war against Iran on February 28, this conflict that has lasted for more than five weeks has xmmarkets.cnpletely disrupted the situation in the Middle East. After a U.S. F-15E fighter jet crashed in Iran, the pilot was successfully rescued. This incident directly intensified the conflict. U.S. President Trump issued a tough threat on Sunday, ordering Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz before April 7 (Tuesday), otherwise it will accurately strike Iran's power plants, bridges and other core infrastructure. He even said that Iran will "fall into hell."
Iran’s counterattack showed no signs of weakness: it not only attacked the key energy infrastructure of the Gulf Arab countries, but also released bombshell news that it would block another global busy waterway, the Bab el-Mandab Strait, and the two major energy chokepoints were in emergency at the same time.
At the same time, the military confrontation between the two sides continues to escalate:
Iran shot down another U.S. A-10 attack aircraft on Friday, and on Sunday announced the "wreckage of the downed U.S. aircraft" (including transport planes and helicopters) during the rescue operation;
The U.S. military admitted that it self-destructed two transport aircraft due to technical failures., two Black Hawk helicopters barely escaped after being hit;
The air strikes spread to the Iranian mainland, and residential areas, universities and natural gas distribution stations in Tehran, Qom and other places were attacked, killing at least 18 civilians;
Iranian drones and missiles severely damaged petrochemical plants and power plants in the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Bahrain, and regional energy production was paralyzed.
So far, the conflict has caused many casualties: more than 1,900 people were killed in Iran, 19 people were killed and 11 soldiers were killed in Israel, 13 American soldiers were killed, more than 1,500 people were killed in Gulf countries and Lebanon, and one million people were displaced.
The war triggered shocks in the global market. International fuel prices increased by more than 57% xmmarkets.cnpared with pre-war levels, and the energy supply chain was on the verge of breaking.
Negotiation deadlock: Iran stubbornly refuses to negotiate, and the US plan is criticized as "illogical"
Behind the military conflict, diplomatic negotiations have reached a deadlock.
For the 15-point war-ending plan previously proposed by the United States, the spokesperson of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs directly refuted it as "extremely ambitious and illogical" and criticized the two-sided behavior of the United States:
"In less than nine months, the United States has destroyed diplomacy in the worst way. The channels, words and deeds are xmmarkets.cnpletely inconsistent”;
“The terrorist acts carried out by the United States in Iran have basically removed diplomatic issues from the agenda”;
The spokesperson made it clear that although Iran will still perform its diplomatic responsibilities, it will never accept “unequal negotiations.”
On April 6, Iran sent a further signal: It is ready to respond to the mediator and will report it in a timely manner if necessary.
However, Iran's bottom line for negotiations is clear - it refuses "temporary ceasefire in exchange for the opening of the Strait" and requires the United States to first meet core conditions such as a permanent ceasefire, war xmmarkets.cnpensation, and recognition of sovereignty over the Strait. It has a tough attitude and no room for xmmarkets.cnpromise.
On the other side, Israel’s position is even more variable.
The Israeli Defense Minister publicly declared that he "will continue to pursue Iran's top leaders." His tough statement further heated up the regional situation and cast a shadow on the negotiations.
A turning point emerges? Pakistan's dual-track plan has become the only feasible path
As the confrontation between the United States and Iran escalates, Pakistan's dual-track plan to end the war has become the only feasible mediation path at present.
The plan requires the United States and Iran to reach an agreement on April 6 (today) through Pakistan’s only electronic xmmarkets.cnmunication channel, and is divided into two stages:
Phase 1: immediate ceasefire and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which is critical to global oil;
The second phase: Negotiations will eventually reach the "Islamabad Agreement" within 15-20 days. Iran must xmmarkets.cnmit to limiting its nuclear program and not developing nuclear weapons. In exchange, Iran will receive sanctions relief, the unfreezing of frozen assets, and a broader regional framework for security in the Strait of Hormuz.
Currently, the international xmmarkets.cnmunity’s diplomatic mediation is also advancing simultaneously:
Oman: Iran held special talks with Oman’s deputy foreign minister and experts, focusing on the “smooth navigation” of the Strait of Hormuz;
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Egypt: The foreign minister xmmarkets.cnmunicated with the foreign ministers of the United States, Iran, Turkey, and Pakistan (Pakistan) to promote the cooling of the situation;
Russia: The Iranian foreign minister had a phone call with the Russian foreign minister to exchange views on the regional situation;
Bahrain: Urges the United Nations Security Council to adopt a proposal to authorize member states to take defensive measures to ensure navigation in the strait.
However, Iran's resistance to the "temporary ceasefire", the harsh demands of the United States, and Israel's tough attitude still make the implementation of the plan full of uncertainty.
Key reminder: Direction will be determined within 24 hours
8:00 a.m. on April 7 is the deadline set by Trump and is a key observation window for the oil market: whether Pakistan’s plan can be implemented, whether Iran makes concessions, and whether the United States and Israel suspend military operations will directly determine the trend of crude oil.
Investors need to pay close attention to Iran’s official response, navigation data in the Strait of Hormuz and air strikes. Any disturbance may trigger violent fluctuations in the oil market.
At the same time, pay attention to the xmmarkets.cnpetition between the United States and Iran over enriched uranium and related market information. This may be the most important hard physical constraint that affects the war situation. Before the nuclear issue is resolved, it will be difficult for the war to end.
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