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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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USD/CHF rose as US-China trade truce boosted dollar sentiment
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM official website]: US dollar/cher franc rises, as the US-China trade truce boosts US dollar sentiment." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
The US dollar/CHF trade rose, which was widely driven by major breakthroughs in the trade relations between the United States and China. The two countries have agreed to suspend 90 days in the trade war, with the United States cutting tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, and China lowering its tariffs from 125% to 10%. The move boosted sentiment, pushing the U.S. dollar index (DXY) to its highest level in a month, close to 101.90. The rebound still occurs despite Fed governor Adrianna Coogler warning that rapid changes in trade policy have made it difficult for policy makers to assess the basic strength of the U.S. economy.
The US dollar was significantly supported by rising bond yields, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield pushing to 4.4500%, reflecting a decrease in expectations for the recent Fed rate cut. Market sentiment remains bullish, with investors absorbing the impact of a 90-day tariff truce, which temporarily alleviates pressure on global trade flows. The Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model currently forecasts growth of 2.30% annualized in the second quarter, highlighting the resilience of the U.S. economy despite ongoing challenges.
In contrast, the Swiss franc lag reflects a decrease in risk aversion demand as the global risk environment improves. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) continues to face headwinds as it manages the impact of strong currencies on its export-oriented economy. The recent poor performance of the Swiss franc against the US dollar highlights this dynamic, with the euro/CHF also rising around 0.9384.
Technical Analysis
The US dollar/CHF shows bullish signals, and is currently trading around 0.9000, with the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) providing instant support. The pair has broken through the key 0.8910 level and is now the firstSupport level, subsequent support levels are 0.8880 and 0.8850. On the upside, the resistance levels are 0.9050, 0.9080 and 0.9110.
Momentum indicators perform mixed, with the relative strength index (RSI) hovering in the middle of 60, reflecting neutral to slightly bullish conditions. Meanwhile, moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) signals show continuous upward action energy, strengthening positive technical prospects. However, the average direction index (ADX) remains at a low of 20, indicating a lack of strong confidence in the current uptrend.
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