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5.13 Analysis of the latest market price trends of gold crude oil and today's exclusive operating suggestions and guidance
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Official Website】: Analysis of the latest market price trends of 5.13 gold crude oil and exclusive operating suggestions and guidance today". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
The investment market always has four levels: keeping the principal, controlling risks, earning profits, and making long-term and stable profits. Don’t determine the result because of the winning or losing of a day. Is it accidental or inevitable to make money, whether it is based on real effort or luck. Those who can survive in the market will definitely be investors who can eventually make long-term profits. Trading is a good habit, strictly implement your trading plan. A rigorous transaction = good mentality control + correct position control + strong technical skills, never force buying and selling for cooperation. Opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared. The right choice is greater than a hundred times hard work. If you trust the teacher, I will give you a satisfactory return. You just need it, and I happen to be professional!
Analysis of the latest trend of gold:
Gold news analysis: On Monday (May 12), spot gold opened low and closed low, reaching a low of 7:00, reaching a low of $3,265.88 per ounce, hitting a new low in the past week, down nearly $60 from the closing price last Friday, a drop of about 1.76%, as the talks between China and the United States were held in Geneva, Switzerland last weekend, and the talks made substantial progress; this boosted the market's risk-taking sentiment and suppressed the safe-haven buying demand of gold. The news that Putin proposed to resume direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Türkiye on the 15th and the India-Pakistan ceasefire also hit gold bulls. On May 12, 2025, in the first round of high-level Sino-US trade negotiations held in Geneva, Switzerland, the joint statement between the two sides triggered a strong reaction in the financial market. The US dollar index, spot gold and Brent crude oil all fluctuated significantly in the short term; spot gold plunged about US$19 in one minute starting from 15:00.
Gold technical analysis: Gold's weekly line closed with a long upper shadow line and the market hit the top for the second timeFailed, the second-highest point of 3435 has been formed. On Monday, due to the easing of international trade relations and the decline of geopolitical situation, gold gaps opened significantly lower. Currently, the price has fallen below the 5-week moving average. This week, we need to pay attention to the breaking of the weekly lines ma5 and ma10. If we re-establish the 5-week moving average, the market will return to a strong and continue to rise. If we lose the 10-week moving average, the market will further fall to the middle track of US$3,000. The 10-week moving average is currently around 3186.
Daily level, the Bollinger Band closes and flattens, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average are entangled near the middle track. The current price is running below the middle track, and the 5-day moving average turns downward. The technical side shows that the current gold price fluctuates and is relatively bearish. Cooperate with the macd high dead cross, the red column continues to shrink, and the daily operation is mainly based on high-altitude thinking. Pay attention to the 10 moving average and the 3250-60 area resistance of the middle track, and pay attention to the support near the lower track at $3200.
The current downward trend of gold's 4-hour level is relatively obvious, with a step downward trend in the form, ma5 and ma10 sticking to 66ma, MACD dead cross and green column increase volume, maintaining the overall decline adjustment idea, the 1-hour moving average is still a downward short-term short arrangement, after the gold gap is opened low, there is a large gap, gold rebound is unable to continue to fall, and it will be difficult to cover for a while in the short term, and it will be filled in the process of the market detour in the future. Overall, in terms of gold's short-term operation ideas today, He Bosheng recommends that rebound short selling be the main focus, and return to the low long as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the 3250-3260 line of resistance above, and the short-term focus on the 3220-3210 line of support below.
The latest trend analysis of crude oil:
Crude oil news analysis: In the early trading on Monday, international oil prices continued to rise last week. Brent crude oil futures rose 27 cents to $64.18 a barrel; WTI crude oil futures rose 28 cents to $61.30 a barrel. Previously, both of the two benchmark oil prices rose by more than 4% last week, the first weekly increase since mid-April. Trade concerns eased, boosting the outlook for crude oil demand. According to market research, both Asian powers and the United States said they made "positive progress" after negotiations over the weekend. The US said it had reached an agreement to reduce the trade deficit, and Asian countries said that the two sides had reached an "important consensus." Although no specific details have been released, the joint statement is expected to be released on Monday. The current market is in a game between easing trade concerns and OPEC's expectations of increasing production, and crude oil prices are facing a "dual drive": on the one hand, expectations of improving global trade relations support global economic recovery and crude oil demand; on the other hand, OPEC+ and Iran's supply potential constitute a suppressor on the supply side. Oil prices may maintain a strong volatility in the short term, and we need to continue to pay attention to changes in global trade sentiment and the actual progress of the Iran nuclear negotiations.
Crude oil technical analysis: From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend direction is downward. After the oil price hits the low point of 55.20, the frequent alternation of bulls and bears formed. From the perspective of the pattern, the prototype of the falling flag-shaped relay appears. Pay attention to the oil price to test the upper edge of the flag.The strength of the position is expected to fall to 50 after the medium-term trend fluctuates. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil rebounded continuously, and oil prices rebounded to around 61. The moving average system is arranged long, and the short-term objective trend direction is upward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis, and the bulls have the advantage in momentum, but the upward action ability is insufficient. It is expected that the crude oil trend will remain fluctuating upward during the day, with limited space. Overall, in terms of today's operational ideas of crude oil, He Bosheng recommends that the main focus should be on the low-sinking back, and the rebound should be supplemented by the high altitude. The short-term focus should be on the 64.0-64.5 line resistance at the top, and the short-term focus should be on the 61.0-60.5 line support at the bottom.
He Bosheng's message: The trading market will not sympathize with the weak, nor will it believe in tears. The only thing that can help you is to find your own trading system and profit system. The most unbelievable thing is your eyes. What you see is the basic and deepest routine. The trends seen by the whole world must be the beginning of the end. The 28th law of the market is eternal. Most traders are actually instinctively pursuing a sense of security and certainty. People are afraid of uncertainty, so they hope that they can see the truth but the reality is that certainty will never appear, and uncertainty is the only truth. Only change remains unchanged. Only when you accept uncertainty and sense of security will arise naturally. Admit it, we will never predict the future. This world is nonlinear and cannot be accurately measured! So, stop wasting your energy on chasing God and creating God! Only by being tolerant, understanding, learning and then cooperating with position, mentality, risk control and technology can you be proud of yourself.
This article is exclusively planned by Gold Crude Oil analyst He Bosheng. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Because the online publication is timely and the suggestions in the article are for learning reference only, and the risks of operating based on this are at your own risk. No matter whether the views and strategies of the article are consistent with everyone's opinions, you can xmmarkets.cne to me to discuss and learn together! There is nothing difficult in the world, I am afraid of those who are interested. Investment itself carries risks, reminding everyone to identify the authoritative platform and the strong teacher. Fund safety is the first priority, secondly, consider operational risks, and finally how to make a profit.
The above content is all about "【XM official website】: Analysis of the latest market price trends of gold and crude oil and today's exclusive operation suggestions and guidance". It was carefully xmmarkets.cnpiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
Due to the author's limited ability and time constraints, some content in the article still needs to be discussed and studied in depth. Therefore, in the future, the author will conduct extended research and discussion on the following issues:
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