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market news

U.S.-China trade negotiations and global economic data

Wonderful Introduction:

Love sometimes does not require the promise of vows, but she must need meticulous care and greetings; sometimes she does not need the tragic spirit of Liang Zhu turning into a butterfly, but she must need the tacit understanding and xmmarkets.cnpanionship with each other; sometimes she does not need the follower of male and female followers, but she must need the support and understanding of each other.

Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: US-China Trade Negotiations and Global Economic Data". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

The Wall Street Index hopes that the above gains will end this week after an unstable start earlier this week. Improved market sentiment and the upcoming U.S.-China meeting on potential trade deals this weekend keep market participants optimistic.

The xmmarkets.cnpany continued to lower its earnings forecast this week due to some uncertainty. This led to a slightly downturn in U.S. stocks this week, as market participants are optimistic that there are still many challenges to overcome. The clearness of tariffs can also give xmmarkets.cnpanies a better understanding of the impact their business may be subject to in the future.

While market sentiment improved, global equity funds' single-week increase in holdings hit the lowest level since May 7 as concerns over the global economic impact of tariffs and the outcome of U.S.-China trade negotiations put pressure on investors.

LSEGLipper data shows that investors bought only $856 million in global equity funds that week, a sharp drop from the $6.13 billion investment the previous week. European equity funds remained popular, with net inflows of $12.81 billion for the fourth consecutive week.

Asian funds also attracted a net inflow of US$3.32 billion. However, U.S. equity funds faced net outflows for the fourth consecutive week, with a loss of $16.22 billion in the same period.

Gold had a roller coaster-like week, breaking the $3,400/ounce mark on Tuesday, before moving slightly lower for the rest of the week, trading around $3,340/ounce at the time of writing.

Oil prices were under pressure this week, and fell sharply after the OPEC+ meeting last weekend. Rumors begin to spread, saying Saudi Arabia has no lower oil pricesand the group may seek to increase its output more aggressively.

Oil prices did rise slightly for most of the week due to improved market sentiment. Brent crude oil rose this week as it hopes to end its two-week decline that has brought Brent crude to a new low around $58.60 a barrel.

In foreign exchange, the dollar resumed bullish momentum on Thursday, but it was difficult to maintain its momentum on Friday. This has left the U.S. dollar index basically flat this week.

The weakness of the dollar on Friday helped currencies such as the euro/dollar and pound/dollar recover some of the lost ground on Thursday. The Swiss franc is still worthy of attention as the strength of the Swiss franc continues to attract business attention, which increases pressure from the central bank.

The market will turn its attention to trade negotiations between China and the United States this weekend. On Friday, U.S. President Trump posted on TruthSocial that he believes it is fair to impose 80% tariffs on China. The president then said it was up to Finance Minister Besent.

President Trump's trade adviser Peter Navarro confirmed what we have expected that this weekend will be an interesting weekend for global markets.

The next week: Sino-US trade negotiations boost market sentiment

Several important data will be released in the next week. However, with U.S.-China negotiations held over the weekend and the first trade deal has been xmmarkets.cnpleted, the market may turn its attention to tariff updates, which could lose focus on economic data.

Asia-Pacific Market

The Japanese economy will shrink by 0.1% in the first quarter of 2025, down from 0.6% in the last quarter of 2024. Household spending and more foreign tourists are driving private consumption, but sluggish external demand has hampered growth. xmmarkets.cnpared with other major exporters, has less impact on Japan by haste exports before tariffs. Imports have recovered. The Bank of Japan may now postpone any rate hikes due to weak growth.

China's inflation data for April will be shared this weekend, and consumer prices are expected to remain at -0.1% year-on-year, the same as in March. Producer prices may remain negative for the 31st straight month. Deflation could get worse due to tariffs, forcing exporters to find new markets. China will also release credit data for April in the next week. Credit growth has been improving this year, but April data is unlikely to reflect the latest measures taken by the People's Bank of China to relax monetary policy. It takes more time to feel the effect and transfer it through data.

Europe + UK + US

The Federal Reserve has made it clear that they will not rush to lower interest rates. They acknowledge that trade uncertainty could lead to higher unemployment and inflation. April inflation data released next week is expected to show that inflation remains high. As tariffs start to affect costs, there may also be signs of early price increases. By June, these price increases may become more obvious as the goods are shipped, stored and eventually in the businessStore or online sales take time.

Retail sales are the focus of the week. March was strong as people bought large items in advance for fear of rising tariff-related prices. Car sales may continue to happen in April, but concerns about inflation, job security and a decline in wealth may hurt non-essential spending. Key data such as the Michigan Confidence Index and industrial production will also be released.

If we cross the ocean to the UK, the job market is cooling down, but it has not weakened significantly after the recent tax hikes. The decline in employment last month could be raised. Unemployment is expected to rise, although the data is not always reliable. Wage growth should slow, mainly due to earlier high xmmarkets.cnparisons, with wage pressure easing later this year.

GDP grew 0.5% in February, and the first quarter growth looked solid even if it could see a decline in March. This surge is partly due to instability in manufacturing data. Growth in the second quarter may slow, but should remain stable with the help of government spending.

This week’s chart – USD Index (DXY)

The focus of this week is still on the USD Index.

The index finally closed above the psychological level of 100.00 last week and is expected to make positive progress when closing on Friday.

However, the index has not continued to move forward, still above the 100.00 mark at the time of writing, but has fallen sharply from its weekly high of 100.61, a resistance area.

The US dollar index has been moving higher in the daily time frame, setting higher highs and higher lows, but it is a hard work to say the least.

The positive progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations could lead to a sharp upward rebound and could become a shot of a boost the dollar has been waiting for.

The direct resistance level is at 100.61 until the 101.80 and 102.16 levels become focus.

If a deeper callback occurs, the support is at 100.00, and then the 99.57 and 99.00 handles are in focus.

The above content is all about "[XM Forex Platform]: US-China Trade Negotiations and Global Economic Data". It was carefully xmmarkets.cnpiled and edited by the XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

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